Economic Shocks and Crime: Evidence from the Brazilian Trade Liberalization

Attribution Error in Economic Voting: Evidence from Trade Shocks

This article exploits the international transmission of business cycles to examine the prevalence of attribution error in economic voting in a large panel of countries from 1990 to 2009. We find that voters, on average, exhibit a strong tendency to oust the incumbent governments during an economic downturn, regardless of whether the recession is home-grown or merely imported from trading partne...

Poverty and Crime: Evidence from Rainfall and Trade Shocks in India

Does poverty lead to crime? We shed light on this question using two independent and exogenous shocks to household income in rural India: the dramatic reduction in import tariffs in the early 1990s and rainfall variations. We find that trade shocks, previously shown to raise relative poverty, also increased the incidence of violent crimes and property crimes. The relationship between trade shoc...

Sustainability of Trade Liberalization and Antidumping: Evidence from Mexico’s Trade Liberalization toward China

A Negative Binomial Regression Model is used to investigate the sustainability of China–Mexico trade liberalization by testing the tariff lines underpinning Mexico’s successful antidumping (AD) measures against Chinese imports from 1991 to 2011. Evidence shows import tariff cutting and consumption growth have a positive impact on consumer goods but a negative impact on intermediaries. This resu...

Trade Liberalization, Privatization and Economic Growth

From Trade Liberalization to Economic Integration: the Case of Mexico

This paper reviews Mexico’s economic situation before 1982. It outlines the evolution of Mexico’s inward-oriented strategy and its experience with trade liberalization since 1985, highlighting the causes of the structural crisis manifested in 1982. Sections II and III examine the reform policies of the de la Madrid administration (1982-1988) and the more radical approach under the current Salin...